Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.137560 0.161110 0.187031 0.217619 0.252662 0.291488 0.337697
2026-01-11 0.099782 0.131805 0.170923 0.221918 0.286300 0.364512 0.466304
2026-01-18 0.078066 0.112989 0.159120 0.223845 0.311517 0.425234 0.582810
2026-01-25 0.063247 0.098872 0.149108 0.223992 0.331391 0.478206 0.692006
2026-02-01 0.051784 0.086755 0.139025 0.221207 0.345085 0.522259 0.791431
2026-02-08 0.042890 0.076604 0.129761 0.217484 0.355754 0.561629 0.886316
2026-02-15 0.035009 0.066508 0.118779 0.209089 0.357534 0.586987 0.961571
2026-02-22 0.032197 0.064430 0.120255 0.220447 0.390914 0.662578 1.118654
2026-03-01 0.027095 0.057318 0.112096 0.214427 0.394919 0.691821 1.204862
2026-03-08 0.022658 0.050632 0.103639 0.206594 0.394604 0.713395 1.279595
2026-03-15 0.019374 0.045611 0.097470 0.201943 0.399003 0.742652 1.368632
2026-03-22 0.017500 0.043177 0.095870 0.205520 0.418318 0.798633 1.506813
2026-03-29 0.016132 0.041666 0.096016 0.212704 0.445429 0.871212 1.680791
2026-04-05 0.014647 0.039638 0.094840 0.217146 0.467833 0.937297 1.848602
2026-04-12 0.013143 0.037279 0.092599 0.219059 0.485341 0.995547 2.006180
2026-04-19 0.011710 0.034807 0.089727 0.219205 0.499146 1.047628 2.155646
2026-04-26 0.010277 0.032048 0.085784 0.216475 0.506633 1.087940 2.285437
2026-05-03 0.008983 0.029392 0.081679 0.212823 0.511691 1.123654 2.408558
2026-05-10 0.007627 0.026265 0.075929 0.204592 0.505902 1.136996 2.488436
2026-05-17 0.007365 0.026304 0.078196 0.215729 0.544021 1.242581 2.759120
2026-05-24 0.006374 0.023900 0.073729 0.209826 0.542934 1.266533 2.865721
2026-05-31 0.005447 0.021477 0.068817 0.202145 0.536879 1.279335 2.949915
2026-06-07 0.004754 0.019662 0.065298 0.197585 0.537687 1.306816 3.066427